Things may not be so peaceful in the economic miracle of
, comrade. This according to a Chinese insider who is quoted in Australian media today. China
Everybody said: No one saw it coming referring to the sudden collapse of the SU, even though all the weak signals of internal rot were there.. With
China insider sees revolution brewing
's top expert on social unrest has warned that hardline security policies are taking the country to the brink of ''revolutionary turmoil''. "China
In contrast with the powerful, assertive and united
that is being projected to the outside world, Yu Jianrong said his prediction of looming internal disaster reflected on-the-ground surveys and also the views of Chinese government ministers. China
Deepening social fractures were caused by the Communist Party's obsession with preserving its monopoly on power through ''state violence'' and ''ideology'', rather than justice, Professor Yu said.
Disaster could be averted only if ''interest groups'' - which he did not identify - were capable of making a rational compromise to subordinate themselves to the constitution, he said.
Some lawyers, economists and religious and civil society leaders have expressed similar views but it is unusual for someone with Professor Yu's official standing to make such direct and detailed criticisms of core Communist Party policies.
Professor Yu is known as an outspoken insider. As the director of social issues research at the
Chinese Academyof Social Sciences' he advises top leaders and conducts surveys on social unrest. Instituteof Rural Affairs
This speech is very significant because it is the first time Yu has directly confronted the Hu-Wen leadership [President Hu Jintao and Premier Wen Jiabao] and said their policies have failed and will not work.''
Pointedly, Professor Yu took aim at the policy substance behind two of Mr Hu's trademark phrases, ''bu zheteng'' [''stability'', or ''don't rock the boat''] and ''harmonious society''.
His speech was delivered on December 26, the day after the rights activist Liu Xiaobo was sentenced to 11 years in jail for helping to draft a manifesto for constitutional and democratic government in
, called Charter '08. China
Professor Yu's speech has not been previously reported but has recently emerged on Chinese websites.
He cited statistics showing the number of recorded incidents of ''mass unrest'' grew from 8709 in 1993 to more than 90,000 in each of the past three years.
''More and more evidence shows that the situation is getting more and more tense, more and more serious,'' Professor Yu said.
Taking a page from Russia and the the government tactics duing the infamous 1930's' famine (Holodomor) in the Soviet Union especially Ukraine:
"He cited a growing range and severity of urban worker disputes and said Mafia groups were increasingly involved in state-sponsored thuggery while disgruntled peasants were directing blame at provincial and even central government.
''Corrupt officials have such a high and urgent interest in controlling the media and especially the internet,'' he said. ''The more they feel that their days are numbered due to the internet and free information, the more ferocious and corrupt they become, in a really vicious circle leading to final collapse.''
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