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February 19, 2009

When will the Recession / depression end? Part 19 Put Infrastructure Where it's Needed; Ontario on the Move

Put Infrastructure Where it's Needed-Ontario on the Move

Last December I posted a series of suggestions for Canadian Prime Minister Harper and US

President Obama to consider when funding infrastructure. See Top 10 smart technologies for Obama and Harper to consider for their infrastructure / cyberstructure / cognistructure program

Now Richard Florida & his team weighs into the game. This comes from a press release from the Martin Prosperity Institute at the University of Toronto this morning--Walter Derzko

Ontario on the Move - Put Infrastructure Where it's Needed


Economic history has shown that changes in infrastructure systems have often underlain phases of significant economic growth. Railroads in the 19th century, highway systems of the 1960s, and the internet infrastructure of the late 20th century are prime examples.  The innovation that gives rise to new infrastructure systems is often a response to severe stress and is often driven by desperate circumstances.  Ontario's opportunity lies not in reacting to a crisis but in proactively investing in the infrastructure necessary for future success.

 
This Week's Working Papers:

 

These working papers highlight the diverse array of challenges and opportunities Ontario

faces as it transitions toward the creative age. They represent the next three of twenty working papers that we commissioned to support the core analysis of our report: Ontario in the Creative Age. We hope you find them engaging.

READ MORE >>

 

Walter Derzko, Smart Economy. Toronto

Author of the soon-to-be-released book: Hard Times Golden Opportunities.. about opportunity recognition in a recession/ depression features 45 opportunity scenarios.

Related Recession / Depression Posts

When will the recession / depression end? Part 19 Put Infrastructure Where it's Needed; Ontario on the Move

When will the recession/ depression end? Part 18 Hormones and Boom and Bust Cycles

When will the recession / depression end ? Part 17 Recap from the World Economic Forum in Davos

When will the recession end? Part 16 It's all over, well sort of.

When will the recession end? Part 15 Year-end predictions for 2009 starting to come true

When will the recession end? Part 14 Four options for America's race to the bottom

When will the recession end? Part 13 Thirteen economic questions that economists can't answer

When will the recession end? Part 12 Bad times are good times for startups

When will the recession end? Part 11 Bank of Canada optimism

When will the recession end? Part 10, The Conformity Trap or Don't count on your economist for advise

When will the recession end? Part 9 Humor will signal recession /depression bottom

When will the recession end? Part 8 Lessons Learned from the last Post 9/11 recession; designing brilliant winning business models

When will the recession end? Part 7 False signals of recovery

When will this recession end? Part 6 The USA Paradox; Cheer vs Fear vs Transformation

When will the recession end? Part 5 Stop Auto Industry Bailouts, start buying Electric

When will the recession end? Part 4 The double dip housing crash in the USA

When will the recession end? Part 3 The coming collapse of the American Middle Class into an Underclass

When will this recession end ? Part 2 Do you listen to the Optimists or the Pessimists in 2009?

When will this recession end?

82 Signposts to the current Recession Depression Summary from 2008

 

© 2005-2009

Walter Derzko -"Changing the world, one idea at a time"©

Expert, Consultant and Keynote Speaker on Emerging Smart Technologies, Innovation, Strategic Foresight, Business Development, Lateral Creative Thinking and author of an upcoming book on the Smart Economy "

The Smart Technology Blog: The Smart Economy -- Read, enjoy, explore, speculate, comment !!

To arrange for an in house presentation or briefing on smart technology see here

To explore the opportunities and threats of any new smart technology in your industry - Contact Me or explore how we can work together

  • ".....Strategy without action is a day-dream; action without strategy is a nightmare"-old Japanese proverb
  • ".......Ours is the age that is proud of machines that think and suspicious of men who try to." -- H. Mumford Jones
  • ".......Without changing our patterns of thought, we will not be able to solve the problems we created with our current pattern of thought."  --A. Einstein
  • ".......Change is difficult, but complacency and stagnation are surefire showstoppers..." --Walter Derzko
  • ".......Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful, committed citizens can change the world; indeed, it's the only thing that ever has."  -- Margaret Mead
  • ".......Small minds discuss people; Average minds discuss events; Great minds discuss ideas; --Anon

P. S. if this is your first visit to my blog, please go to our Welcome page

December 13, 2008

Top 10 smart technologies for Obama and Harper to consider for their infrastructure / cyberstructure / cognistructure program

Both US president elect Obama and Canadian Prime Minister Steven Harper have promised "New Deal" like infrastructure programs for the USA and Canada to spend their way out of a depression / recession (pick one). A new term is needed to describe this type of new intelligence-infused infrastructure. I call it the cognistructure-an infrastructure that thinks for itself.

Here's my list of top 10 smart technologies that both Olbama and Harper should have their eye on and on their planning radar screens; (Niche applications 10-6, more ubiquitous applications 5-1)

10. Smart home fabrication (supersized 3D printer that prints your home on site) to improve construction efficiency and effectiveness and waste reduction in conventional house building (but there is little chance of seeing North American building codes reformed any time soon)

9. Smart sensors in bridges, levees, roads, buildings, vehicles, satellites  etc (smart dust) to provide a dynamic sense and respond environment- eco cities-earth with a fast track  nervous system

8. Move toward the electrification of transportation (GM, Ford, Chysler shifts production to electric cars and trucks)and smart road networks (ie smart retractable speed bumps, movable road mediums that adjust to traffic flow and congestion)

7.Biomimicry -- designing systems, objects and surfaces  based on natural biological models

6. Smart "emergent and self-organizing" traffic congestion systems that deal with natural complexity in unconventional ways

5.Infrastructure / congnistructure for Smart cities, that address and enforce  "system resilience" and mitigates the consequences future potential catastrophies (climate change, severe weather, man-made disasters, riots, etc)

4.Modermizing the electrical grid to accept consumer and commercial inputs from alternate energy and reducing power loss during distribution ( via super conductors and nanowires)

3.Adoption of smart alternate energy technologies (wind, water and sun) that approach price parity with gas, coal, nuclear and electricity. Move toward distributed and diversified energy production vs centralised energy production.

2. Energy harvesting- various smart technologies that convert latent heat, all light spectra and mechanical vibration into electricity. Objects that create their own energy

1. Internet of things (IofT) (or ObjectNet or O-Net) & the Internet of Services (IofS) or S-Net -Intelligent objects, systems and environments have their own unique IP address and are connected together, just like web pages are linked on the web today.

© 2005-2008

Walter Derzko

Expert, Consultant and Guest Speaker on emerging Smart Technologies, Strategic Planning, Business Development, Lateral Creative Thinking and author of an upcoming book on the Smart Economy "

To explore the opportunities and threats of any new smart technology in your industry - Contact Me

.....Strategy without action is a day-dream; action without strategy is a nightmare"

- old Japanese proverb

P. S. if this is your first visit to my blog, please go to our Welcome page

December 03, 2008

IBM endorses smart technology and a smarter planet

A while back when I was at the Idea Lab at the Design Exchange, I remember sitting over a coffee and exploring a thought exercise with some clients.

The question under debate was: What are  the generic elements or activities that would accelerate any new technology platform, (such as smart technologies) and overcome the initial market interia. Simply put, Is there a generic technology evolution matrix?

We came up with over 25 items. (see related Post-Do you know how to spot opportunities?)

One was having cartoonists make fun of your technology ( No, smart technologies aren't on Dilbert's radar screen yet, but any day now I hope)  Another key event would be to have some influential CEO highlight the benefits of your technology in a milestone keynote speech (act as a complimentor-in business strategy terms. )

Well for smart technologies, that breakthrough event may have happened this month on November 6th, when IBM’s CEO, Sam Palmisano, outlined a new agenda for building a smarter planet - during a speech at the Council on Foreign Relation. (hat tip to Adam Christensen at IBM HQ)

 

Sam Palmisano - Council on Foreign Relations 

From IBM's blog:

"In the speech, he outlines a number of the challenges faced today by people, governments, businesses and organizations. A lack of clean water for a fifth of the world’s population. Energy systems that waste more energy than they produce. Traffic in our cities that clogs roads and chokes economic growth. 

Clearly there are no simple solutions for these problems.

Technology can play a big role in helping find answers to these problems. While the Internet currently connects more than a billion people, in just a few years, it will connect more than a trillion objects. Everything from cell phones, cars, roads, buildings, and even objects in nature itself, will have embedded technology and be connected to one another, enabling tremendous advances in how we understand how the world works and make smarter decisions to make it work better. 

But technology is just part of the solution. Without the people, policies and culture to inspire and execute the change, nothing ultimately gets done."

From Sam’s speech:

[...]   These collective realizations have reminded us that we are all now connected—economically, technically and socially. But we're also learning that being connected is not sufficient. Yes, the world continues to get "flatter." And yes, it continues to get smaller and more interconnected. But something is happening that holds even greater potential. In a word, our planet is becoming smarter.

This isn't just a metaphor.I mean infusing intelligence into the way the world literally works—the systems and processes that enable physical goods to be developed, manufactured, bought and sold… services to be delivered… everything from people and money to oil, water and electrons to move… and billions of people to work and live.

 What's making this possible?

  • First, our world is becoming instrumented: The transistor, invented 60 years ago, is the basic building block of the digital age. Now, consider a world in which there are a billion transistors per human, each one costing one ten-millionth of a cent. We'll have that by 2010. There will likely be 4 billion mobile phone subscribers by the end of this year… and 30 billion Radio Frequency Identification tags produced globally within two years. Sensors are being embedded across entire ecosystems—supply-chains, healthcare networks, cities… even natural systems like rivers.
  • Second, our world is becoming interconnected: Very soon there will be 2 billion people on the Internet. But in an instrumented world, systems and objects can now "speak" to one another, too. Think about the prospect of a trillion connected and intelligent things—cars, appliances, cameras, roadways, pipelines… even pharmaceuticals and livestock. The amount of information produced by the interaction of all those things will be unprecedented.
  • Third, all things are becoming intelligent: New computing models can handle the proliferation of end-user devices, sensors and actuators and connect them with back-end systems. Combined with advanced analytics, those supercomputers can turn mountains of data into intelligence that can be translated into action, making our systems, processes and infrastructures more efficient, more productive and responsive—in a word, smarter.

What this means is that the digital and physical infrastructures of the world are converging. Computational power is being put into things we wouldn't recognize as computers. Indeed, almost anything—any person, any object, any process or any service, for any organization, large or small—can become digitally aware and networked.

With so much technology and networking abundantly available at such low cost, what wouldn't you enhance? What service wouldn't you provide a customer, citizen, student or patient? What wouldn't you connect? What information wouldn't you mine for insight?

The answer is, you or your competitor—another company, or another city or nation—will do all of that. You will do it because you can—the technology is available and affordable.

But there is another reason we will make our companies, institutions and industries smarter. Because we must. Not just at moments of widespread shock, but integrated into our day-to-day operations. These mundane processes of business, government and life—which are ultimately the source of those "surprising" crises—are not smart enough to be sustainable.

[...]

Leaders will need to hone their collaboration skills, because we will need leadership that pulls across systems. We will need to bring together stakeholders and experts from across business, government and academia, and all of them will need to move outside their traditional comfort zones.

I’m struck by the questions this raises. What investments need to be made by both public and private institutions? What policy issues need to be debated and resolved? What role can individual citizens and employees play in helping bring about meaningful change?

I’m also struck by the potential opportunities inherent in finding solutions to these problems. 

see full text of Sam Palmisano's speech

Walter Derzko

November 21, 2008

Germans exploring constantly changing and flexible room concepts in Smart Hotels, Intelligent Offices and Dynamic Nursing Homes

InHaus2 The Germans appear to be on the cutting edge of smart structures. I'm envious--too bad that Canadians or Americans aren't doing anything close to this.

On November 5, 2008 the Fraunhofer Institute for Microelectronic Circuits and Systems IMS inaugurated  an unusual building: inHaus2. For about one-and-a-half years, this building has been the subject of research and development concerning intelligent construction, new materials and energy-saving systems. But from now on, visitors will also be able to witness future-oriented, constantly changing and flexible room concepts being tested – for hotels, offices and nursing homes.

Klaus Scherer of the Fraunhofer Institute for Microelectronic Circuits and Systems IMS, heads the inHaus innovation center in Duisburg Germany.

From the press release we get the following description of the 3 area of application

One of these is the Health and Care Lab, where new models are being developed which help to look after people in need of care, and the organization of care facilities is being made easier. Technical solutions can provide greater safety for elderly, disabled or sick people in need of care, without restricting their independence. In the next-generation nursing home with its networked room systems, cases of emergency can be automatically recognized and staff can react quickly. “But the idea goes much further than that, with sensors in each room automatically delivering electronic data to support the care documentation process. This would help to save an enormous amount of time and money, which in turn would benefit the patients,” explains Wolfgang Meyer of ambient assisted living GmbH. In order to find out how this idea would be received by the patients themselves and which measures would most effectively support the nursing staff, studies are being carried out at regular intervals with the help of everyone involved. On the occasion of the opening celebrations, the Fraunhofer Institute for Industrial Engineering IAO presented  its showcase “Pflege 2020” (Care 2020), introducing a living environment for elderly people that enables them to remain active and independent, and ensures their safety.

The other two research areas – NextHotel and OfficeLab – are being coordinated by the IAO and implemented in close collaboration with Lindner Hotels and T-Systems. In order to ensure that the developments actually take users’ needs into account, test specialists from the inHaus application partners regularly assess how practicable the concepts are in everyday life and how they can be marketed.

“Innovations concerning buildings have not developed anywhere near as dynamically as those in other sectors over the past decades, if we exclude all the smart glass facades. The great bursts of innovation we have experienced in information technology or biotechnology, for example, have not yet taken place in this domain. But that is about to change in a big way. The energy crisis, global warming and, above all, new requirements in terms of flexible use will induce a huge innovation competition, not only in Germanybut also on a global scale. Everyone involved faces the same challenge – to realize ecologically, economically and socially sustainable buildings for living and working in,” says Prof. Dr. Hans-Jörg Bullinger, President of the Fraunhofer-Gesellschaft.

The plans and ideas of the nine participating Fraunhofer Institutes and their approximately 60 industrial partners cover a wide diversity of subjects. What unites them all is the goal of creating economical and environmentally friendly commercial properties – from construction and planning to materials research, running of the buildings, and various usages. “The visionary concepts being implemented here by the Fraunhofer researchers and their industrial partners will significantly change construction products and processes and the usage of buildings,” says Prof. Klaus Sedlbauer, director of the Fraunhofer Institute for Building Physics IBP. “This future-oriented model provides a great opportunity to positively and directly influence and improve people’s living environments.”

The state of North Rhine-Westphalia is already reaping the benefits: “The knowledge gained from the inHaus2 project with regard to lowering energy consumption in office buildings has been incorporated in the construction of the new building of the State Office for Data Processing and Statistics (LDS NRW). This means that inHaus2 has already entered the second chapter of its success story,” says innovation minister Professor Andreas Pinkwart.

A research program worth 27 million euros is scheduled to run until the end of 2011. Three-quarters of the approximately 9 million euros of investment funds required for the inHaus2 research facility is being provided by the EU and the state of North Rhine-Westphalia. The federal government, the city of Duisburgand the Fraunhofer-Gesellschaft are also supporting the project. The industrial partners and a range of public funding projects will each cover 50 percent of the costs for the inHaus2 research program. The joint activities are starting to pay off, as demonstrated by the first results: These include all the developed and tested components revolving around the intelligent construction site, ranging from electronic delivery notes and RFID goods-reading gates for delivery trucks to a construction-site portal and a digital building record (Digitale Gebäudeakte). The partners HOCHTIEF AG and T-Systems are already putting these results into practice at the next major building site: the Elbphilharmonie concert building in Hamburg.

Participating Fraunhofer Institutes

Institute forMicroelectronic Circuits and Systems IMS
Building Physics IBP
Software und Systems Engineering ISST
Digital Media Technology IDMT
Solar Energy Systems ISE
Industrial Engineering IAO
Manufacturing Engineering and Automation IPA
Environmental, Safety and Energy Technology UMSICHT
Material Flow and Logistics IML

Industrial partners (status: 11/2008)
System partners
BASF SE
Henkel KGaA
HOCHTIEF AG
Josef Gartner GmbH
OSRAM LIGHT CONSULTING GmbH
SAINT-GOBAIN ISOVER G+H AG
T-Systems
Xella International GmbH
Component partners
AppliedSensor GmbH
Bene Deutschland GmbH
Berker GmbH & Co. KG
caverion GmbH
CENO Membrane Technology GmbH
curveLED GmbH
Deutsches Kupferinstitut Berufsverband
DORMA GmbH + Co. KG
e:cue GmbH & Co. KG
EBV Elektronik GmbH & Co. KG
Elabo GmbH
ESYLUX GmbH
Gesellschaft für audiovisuelle Erlebnisse mbH
HAFI Beschläge GmbH
Hager Tehalit Vertriebs GmbH
HANSA Metallwerke AG
Intermundien GmbH
KERMI GmbH
Kieback&Peter GmbH & Co KG
Klafs GmbH & Co. KG
KRANTZ KOMPONENTEN caverion GmbH
Lancom Systems GmbH
LightLife
Mauser Einrichtungssysteme GmbH&KoKG
Menerga Apparatebau GmbH
MLR System GmbH
OBO BETTERMANN GmbH & Co. KG
Odenwald OWA Faserplattenwerk GmbH
Planet Digital GmbH & Co KG
protel hotelsoftware GmbH (via Fraunhofer IAO)
Ratioplast-Optoelectronics GmbH
scemtec automation GmbH
Schindler Lifts. Ltd.
UNIPOR-Ziegel Marketing GmbH
Vaillant GmbH
VESTAMATIC GmbH
Viega GmbH & Co. KG
Villeroy & Boch AG
Wilo AG
WINI Büromöbel Georg Schmidt GmbH & Co KG
Wirtschaftsbetriebe Duisburg - AöR
Wolf Heiztechnik GmbH
Zent-Frenger Gesellschaft für Gebäudetechnik mbH

Application partners
ambient assisted living GmbH
Duisburger Versorgungs- und Verkehrsgesellschaft mbH
DüsseldorfCongress Veranstaltungsgesellschaft mbH
Lindner Hotels AG

Sponsors
ad notam GmbH, Baulmann Leuchten, bimos-Sitztechnik, BRUCK GmbH & Co.KG, Crestron Germany GmbH, Deckendesign Redmer, Dometic GmbH, Drumm & Partner, Facet, FBF bed&more, FEIG ELECTRONIC GmbH, Freudenberg Bausysteme KG, Future-Shape GmbH, Geohaus Meßbild Engineering & Control GmbH, GP Acoustics GmbH, inHaus GmbH, Markus-Diedenhofen, Media Agentur Kepnik, nora systems GmbH, Rosink GmbH, Shure Distribution GmbH, Starmix, Stockheim GmbH & Co. KG, Stockmanns GmbH & Co. KG, t+t netcom, TOMBUSCH & BRUMANN, Vorwerk & Co.
Teppichwerke GmbH & Co. KG

July 21, 2008

Smart Sustainability Showcase for Toronto and Canada

From: Walter Derzko

Sent: Friday, July 11, 2008 12:19 AM

To: undisclosed list

Subject: re Smart Sustainability ShowCase for Toronto and Canada.

Importance: High

Dear Colleagues

I’d like to plant an idea with you – after speaking with a number of designers and vendors, I’m exploring the idea for a sustainability showcase that would feature theme based exhibits with smart technologies from Canadian and international sources-the best from Ontario, nationally and from around the world.

The launch would be 2010, The timing for this seems right.  The target audience would be Canadian business, consumers and school children

I’m writing a book on smart technologies and this would be a logical extension of the concept.

Two years ago I talked to Samantha Sannella and Poala Polletto at the Design Exchange (DX) in Toronto and with several people at the Ont Science Center.  Both groups expressed interest but said that we would need to find sponsors for the project

My business model for this would be three pronged -vendor based revenue, corporate based sponsor revenue and municipality based sponsorship ie city of Toronto or Mississauga and possibly the province of Ontario who may wish to promote sustainable manufacturing.

This concept would be a Canadian, in fact a North American first.

I have a list of 150 potential vendors, and designers from around the world who are working on smart technologies that we can start to approach.

The exhibits would be theme based, --the sustainable kitchen, the sustainable office, the sustainable retail shelf, the sustainable workspace, the sustainable community, the sustainable city etc and would be updated with new technologies every 3-5 years and have a 1-5 year forward focus. (what's commercially available now or in the very near future.

For other exhibits, there can be a regional or national focus ie smart sustainable technology from the UK, Finland, Germany (Fraunhofer Inst), China, Ukraine, Russia, or Singapore, Hong Kong etc

Corporate sponsors might include: Walmart, Rona, Home Deport, Canadian Tire, Loblaws, Sears, Imperial Oil, the banks (RBC, TD, RBC BMO) etc.

The Sustainability Showcase could be housed in a physical location, or it could tour from location to location around the city or province or be mobile ( on a bus the way the Japanese and Korean do- a display bus turned into a demo center that tours from school to school or to fairs and exhibitions.

OCAD students and staff and Beal senior fellows could play a hand in designing exhibit spaces and sourcing new vendors and sustainable technologies.

Several other revenue opportunities could spin off from this as well

Here’s just a few examples of what can be showcased

1) Environmentally sensible packaging such as Mercury-Absorbant NanoSponge packaging for broken compact fluorescent lamps (CFL's) http://smarteconomy.typepad.com/smart_economy/2008/06/mercury-absorba.html

2) Concrete Wood (from the example I mentioned June 2 at OCAD, when Bob Logan was bemoaning the lack of durability of pressboard shelving from Ikea.  See Concrete Wood from lodgepole pine trees destroyed by pine beetles (kills two birds with one stone) http://smarteconomy.typepad.com/smart_economy/2007/11/concrete-wood.html

3) End of Traditional Heating and Air conditioning Thin-film version of Active Building Envelope (ABE) systems could make conventional air conditioning and heating equipment obsolete http://smarteconomy.typepad.com/smart_economy/2006/07/thinfilm_versio.html

4) OLEDs New High efficiency flat light source OLEDs > Almost any surface in a home, whether flat or curved, could become a light source: walls, curtains, ceilings, cabinets, shelves or tables.  Http://smarteconomy.typepad.com/smart_economy/2006/04/new_high_effici.html

Lots more like these

For anyone who is interested in exploring the idea of a Smart Sustainability Showcase for Toronto, we are having a meeting on Tuesday July 22 at 11 am at the Ontario College of Art & Design (OCAD), Beal Institute for Strategic Creativity, room 600, 6th floor , 100 McCaul St, Toronto just south of the Ont Art Gallery.

Please RSVP, so we know how many people are coming

I have had some positive feedback from several organizations, & I’d like to push the concept forward

I'm sending this nationally and internationally in  case you are aware of any designers, vendors, manufacturers or research centers who have interesting cutting edge smart sustainable technology to showcase.

Contact me by email

----Walter  Derzko; Senior Fellow Beal Institute for Strategic Creativity, OCAD 

© 2005-2008 Walter Derzko -"Changing the world, one idea at a time"©

Expert, Consultant, Keynote Speaker and Lecturer on Emerging Smart Technologies, Innovation, Entrepreneurship, Strategic Foresight, Business Development, Lateral Creative Thinking and author of an upcoming book on the Smart Economy

The Smart Technology Blog: The Smart Economy -- Read, enjoy, explore, speculate, comment !!

To arrange for an in house presentation or briefing on smart technology see here

To explore the opportunities and threats of any new smart technology in your industry - Contact Me or explore how we can work together

July 12, 2008

What makes smart materials different from ordinary materials? Challenging conventional design principles and energy wisdom in architecture and room design.

704133_2 What makes smart materials different from ordinary materials?  Two architects challenge conventional design principles and energy wisdom in architecture and room design.

Fuel for thought.....

Harvard University architects D. Michelle Addington and Daniel L. Schodekm writing in Smart Materials and New Technologies For architecture and design professions suggest that smart technologies follow conventional cybernetic principles;

"Whether a molecule, a material, a composite, an assembly, or a system, 'smart materials and technologies' will exhibit the following characteristics:

  • Immediacy - they respond in real-time. 
  • Transiency - they respond to more than one environmental state. 
  • Self-actuation - intelligence is internal to rather than external to the 'material'. 
  • Selectivity - their response is discrete and predictable. 
  • Directness - the response is local to the 'activating' event.

They go on to challenge conventional design principles:

"It may be this last characteristic, directness, that poses the greatest challenge to architects.  Our building systems are neither discrete nor direct.  Something as apparently simple as changing the temperature in a room by a few degrees will set off a Rube Goldberg cascade of processes in the HVAC system, affecting the operation of equipment throughout the building.  The concept of directness, however, goes beyond making the HVAC equipment more streamlined and local; we must also ask fundamental questions about the intended behavior of the system.  The current focus on high-performance buildings is directed toward improving the operation and control of these systems.  But why do we need these particular systems to begin with?  The majority of our building systems, whether HVAC, lighting, or structural, are designed to service the building and hence are often referred to as 'building services'.  Excepting laboratories and industrial uses, though, buildings exist to serve their occupants.  Only the human body requires management of its thermal environment, the building does not, yet we heat and cool the entire volume.

"The human eye perceives a tiny fraction of the light provided in a building, but lighting standards require constant light levels throughout the building."

"If we could begin to think of these environments at the small scale - what the body needs - and not at the large scale - the building space - we could dramatically reduce the energy and material investment of the large systems while providing better conditions for the human occupants.  When these systems were conceived over a century ago, there was neither the technology nor the knowledge to address human needs in any manner other than through large indirect systems that provided homogeneous building conditions.  The advent of smart materials now enables the design of direct and discrete environments for the body, but we have no road map for their application in this important arena."

...We've started to chart that roadmap over the past three years ....see related posts below.

Over the past 10 years that I've been studying smart technolgies, I've come to a similar conclusion as Addington and Schodekm, long sensing that smart technolgies will have a disruptive and (r)evolutionary effect of society....McLuhan was right !!

related posts....

End of Traditional Heating and Air conditioning; Thin-film version of Active Building Envelope (ABE) systems could make conventional air conditioning and heating equipment obsolete  (or why heat empty space?)

OLEDs; New High efficiency flat light source OLEDs > Almost any surface in a home, whether flat or curved, could become a light source: walls, curtains, ceilings, cabinets or tables.  (or why light unneeded space?)

...along the same train of thought...why heat and store a full tank of hot water, when you can just heat the pipe? or nanoheat the liquid in the future?

© 2005-2008 Walter Derzko -"Changing the world, one idea at a time"©

Expert, Consultant, Keynote Speaker and Lecturer on Emerging Smart Technologies, Innovation, Entrepreneurship, Strategic Foresight, Business Development, Lateral Creative Thinking and author of an upcoming book on the Smart Economy

The Smart Technology Blog: The Smart Economy -- Read, enjoy, explore, speculate, comment !!

To arrange for an in house presentation or briefing on smart technology see here

To explore the opportunities and threats of any new smart technology in your industry - Contact Me or explore how we can work together

January 19, 2008

Smart Library of the Future 08-019

As  a followup to yesterday's posting and report, The Information Behavior of the Rsearchers of the Future, it looks at what the smart library of the future might look like. Here is an exerpt.

"Looking to the future what might the information environment be like in 2017? 

A decade is a very long time ahead to make predictions at a time when the library and information world is in such a state of turmoil and anxiety, but it is possible to identify some powerful trends that seem very unlikely to be reversed.  A unified web culture It is self-evident that by 2017 the internet will have come of age for all ages and be completely integrated into most homes.  The World Wide Web will become just that: survey research is showing us already that a remarkably unified set of online attitudes, activities and behaviours is beginning to emerge across many different countries as a few powerful brands (e.g. eBay, Amazon, FaceBook) become globally dominant.  These services will become more personalised, more mobile, and even more intuitive: values that librarians both respect and are, in some cases, already emulating.  In this unified global Web culture, national library services and provision will become far less meaningful, even quaint concepts (for example, research shows that British Library websites are very popular outside of the UK).

The inexorable rise of the e-book

Outside of leisure markets, we expect print sales to diminish sharply as electronic publishing initiatives such as blogs, RSS, integrated media players, pod casting and publishing-on-demand devices become established parts of the information landscape.  Electronic books, driven by consumer demand, will finally become established as the primary format for educational textbooks and scholarly books and monographs, as well as reference formats.  However the most significant impact for research will not be how things get published, but how they get accessed.  In particular OLED (Organic Light-Emitting Diode) technology will allow the widespread publishing of information on demand, wirelessly delivered to an incredibly niche demographic31.  This kind of publishing will be a potential headache for both research activity and archiving, since these publications can literally appear and disappear in an instant.

More content explosions

Scholars and researchers will benefit enormously from the huge mass book digitization programmes that are currently underway (e.g. Google Print) and from moves to archive research data as well as research findings.  It is hard to predict the rate at which open access publishing and institutional archiving will increase, but libraries should start to plan now for a time, perhaps not so far off, when most scholarly articles are available to anyone from their desktop machine.  This is both a major threat and an opportunity for libraries: it is likely to further fuel interest in scholarly content by people concerned about their health or the environment, from small businesses and the `amateur scholar'.  Each month, across the globe, nearly a million new users join the internet, joining the 750 million already connected.  Most are already generating their own content in the form of emails, blogs, wikis and personal websites and many more will follow.  The scale of this phenomenon is unprecedented in human history: user-generated content is growing much faster than publisher or content with inevitable consequences.  Library-sponsored content is shrinking in relative terms and it will become more difficult to find as users land where the search engines take them, not where librarians think they `ought' to land.

Emerging forms of scholarship and publication

As the information landscape is changing, so are the very processes of research.  Scholars are beginning to employ methods unavailable to their counterparts a few years ago, including pre-publication release of their work, distributing it through non-traditional outlets such as institutional repositories, blogs, wikis and personal websites.  They are also trying out new forms of peer review using online collaboration.  This presents libraries with new challenges: archiving and managing different versions of scholarly material as they appear (and rapidly disappear) from the web.  The key challenge for the whole academic community, including libraries, is how to take advantage of new interactive media while still protecting the integrity of scholarly media.

Virtual forms of publication

Already, real world information providers, from commercial publishers to university tutors, are engaging with Second Life to provide services for members of that virtual world and many see a longterm future in this kind of virtual publishing and broadcasting.  The relevance of this for the virtual scholar is that it is indicative of new modes of engagement between content producers and consumers in the online world, and it is almost impossible to guess where this might lead.

The semantic web

The world wide web as we have seen and experienced it so far could be completely revolutionised by the advent of the `semantic web'.  A system where, currently, humans express simple searches in everyday language, to order groceries, reserve a library book or look up a railway timetable, could be superseded by a system in which computers become capable of analysing all the data on the web.  In the words of Tim Berners-Lee, this could mean eventually that "the day-to-day mechanisms of trade, bureaucracy and our daily lives will be handled by machines talking to machines".  Some pundits believe that this scenario is very far away and, indeed that it may never happen on a wide scale.  Our view is that the semantic web is a tool that will reach its tipping point fairly soon.  In five years, 2013, there could be substantial developments that might allow a whole generation of undergraduates to begin to experience its potential.  This is especially likely to be the case in niche areas, like e-Science, especially biology, creating new opportunities for major research libraries to be involved in completely new forms of activity such as real-time publishing and the sharing of experimental data on the internet. 

Confidence level: medium to high

January 16, 2008

Smart Hospital Rooms 08-016

The Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reported today on a smart hospital room pilot project at the University of Pittsburgh Medical Center.

"Informed that her hospital room was equipped with computer screens that could display her vital signs, medications and other personal information, and even identify the health professionals walking in her door, Carmella Sacramento gave a classic Pittsburgh response."Get out," said Ms. Sacramento, 73, of Swissvale, who was hospitalized at UPMC Shadyside for a heart problem. "Isn't that something?"

The computer system presents other information, including reminders to patients to ask for help in getting out of bed if they are at risk for falls. And a spotlight focuses on the hand sanitizer dispenser when people enter or leave, reminding them of the need to wash their hands.

The University of Pittsburgh Medical Center calls the concept the "smart room" and believes it is the first of its kind. The idea has been tested since October in six patient rooms at UPMC Shadyside.

"While many technology vendors have developed 'smart' components, including advanced pumps that use patient information to regulate medication doses, ours is the first system designed to address the broader patient experience," said David Sharbaugh, leader of the project and senior director at UPMC's Center for Quality Improvement and Innovation.

"We believe this technology will enhance patient safety, allow clinicians to spend more time at the bedside and simplify the jobs of health care workers."

Source:  UPMC TESTING 'SMART' ROOMS; SIX ROOMS AT UPMC SHADYSIDE ARE EQUIPPED WITH COMPUTER SCREENS THAT KEEP DOCTORS AND PATIENTS INFORMED JOE FAHY.  Pittsburgh Post - Gazette.  Pittsburgh, Pa.: Jan 16, 2008.  Pg.  A.1

September 18, 2007

Taking smart buildings to the next level

Taking smart buildings to the next level

In a post called Operating System for the Planet Earth http://www.ugotrade.com/2007/09/18/the-operating-system-for-planet-earth/ , we are introduced to the idea of “smart” buildings" by David Wortley at the Serious Games Institute (SGI).

The ugotrade.com blog does on to describe the SGI “Smart building” project.

“David aims to make the SGI a thought leader and focal point for games based learning simulation and immersive 3D environments.” He plans to take the concept of “smart buildings” to the next level.  Buildings will not only be smart and helpful to people and the environment.  They will be sexy - intelligent, entertaining, conversationalists that are fun to be around."

"When I talk about “smart” buildings - there is a lot of debate about what people consider “smart” buildings - I think most people consider “smart” buildings as buildings with environmental controls built into them, e.g., the light switching off when someone goes out of the room, or the heating going down when no-one is there, being able to recognize where people are and so on and keep the costs of the building down to the minimum."

"I go much further to say I think smart buildings of the future are going to be about how the building represents your organization and adds real value to its stakeholders.  So, instead of saying let’s design buildings that keep our overheads down to a minimum, I say let’s design buildings that use technology to increase our income and the effectiveness of our operation."

"So if you are a local council you want to make the building as approachable and friendly as possible and suitable for the stakeholders who go into the building.  That is why we are trying to embed technology that will allow us to do some really sexy things that will say what we want to say about Serious Games and the companies that are based there."

"In this way we will bring business into these companies, helping to develop a reputation for the university, and the West Midlands region.  That is why we have invested in digital signage and interactive type displays, and are implementing location tracking so that when people move through the building you can identify where they are and use that in clever ways to deliver content to them based on where they are in the building."

"We are also thinking that when someone goes into a building with a PDA or mobile device the location tracking detects that person and creates an avatar in the virtual version of that building.  So as you move about through the building the avatar moves about in Second Life and can interact with people in the virtual world as well as the physical world.”

January 31, 2007

Smart House For People With Dementia 07-035

A groundbreaking home that uses the latest smart technology to give people with dementia and other serious long-term health conditions greater independence has been showcased for the first time in Bristol in the UK.

The technology, which has been developed by the Bath Institute of Medical Engineering (BIME) in the School for Health at the University of Bath, has been designed to help people readjust to living on their own after a stay in hospital, and aims to reduce the risk of users being readmitted to hospital or going into long term care.

It uses special sensors that can wirelessly 'talk' to devices, such as the cooker (stoves), taps and light switches, in response to the behaviour of the resident. By monitoring movement within the home, the system is able to respond to many different situations without having to contact care staff, often just using simple voice prompts, which could be recorded by family members.

The whole installation is quite unique because it is designed to empower the resident rather than relying on outside help to deal with problems.

What can this smart technology do?
  • If the occupant was detected opening the main door at inappropriate times they would be given a prompt to let them know the time and encourage them to go back to bed. If they continued to go out, care staff would be alerted.
  • If the occupant got out of bed at night, the bedroom lights would be gently faded up.
  • If the occupant got back into bed and left the lights on, the house would wait a couple of minutes and then fade the lights off. The user could turn the lights on and off themselves at any point.
  • If the occupant moved around the house when it was dark, appropriate room lights would be turned on to help orientate them and prevent falls.
  • If taps were accidentally left on they would be turned off.
  • If the cooker (stove or hot plate) was left on the occupant would be prompted to turn it off. This would be done twice but if they didn't respond, or if smoke was detected near the cooker, it would be turned off and care staff alerted.
  • Whilst the cooker hot plates were still hot, even if the cooker had been turned off, a small warning sign would be illuminated saying 'Cooker Hot'.
  • If the occupant was detected moving around a lot at night, they would be prompted to encourage them to go back to bed. If they continued to behave restlessly care staff would be alerted.
  • Care staff would be alerted through the normal warden call system.

..gee..I don't  have dementia (yet) but I could sure use some of these features in my home. Ever think of designing DIY drop-in modules (like lego blocks) for this stuff?

ETA: now demo home....no mention of dsesign or construction costs or maintance costs.

Full story here >> [...]

© 2005-2007

Walter Derzko

Expert, Consultant and Keynote Speaker on Emerging Smart Technologies, Innovation, Strategic Foresight, Business Development, Lateral Creative Thinking and author of an upcoming book on the Smart Economy "

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".......Ours is the age that is proud of machines that think and suspicious of men who try to." - H. Mumford Jones

"Without changing our patterns of thought, we will not be able to solve the problems we created with our current pattern of thought."  A. Einstein

"Change is difficult, but complacency and stagnation are showstoppers..." Walter Derzko

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